Colliers International Special Symposium
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Symposium Faculty

Below is a list of the faculty who will speak at the Symposium, information on the company or organization with which each is affiliated and a summary of the topics that will be covered.  Time will be allowed at the end of each presentation for questions from the audience.  You will see that the faculty includes two economists, commercial real estate market research experts, lenders, appraisers and attorneys and each speaker will focus upon the current economic situation and the near term prospects for multifamily investments

 

  

 

Douglas Goodman, Ph.D.

Professor of Economics

University of Puget Sound, Tacoma

 

Dr. Goodman teaches Money & Banking, Monetary Theory and Econometrics at UPS.  Together with Professor Bruce Mann, he is responsible for the Pierce County Economic Index, an annual forecast for the economy of Pierce County.   Professor Goodman is an exceptional and entertaining public speaker.

 

Professor Goodman will present an overview of the recession, the banking crisis and the government response, all put in historical perspective.  He will discuss what forces will affect the recovery in the near term and what forces will shape the post-recession regional economy that would affect multifamily investors.

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James Cook

U.S. Director of Research

Colliers International, Phoenix

 

www.colliers.com

 

Colliers International is one of the largest commercial real estate brokerage firms in the world, with 294 offices in 61 countries and $1.6 billion in revenue.  In Puget Sound, Colliers International has offices in Seattle, Bellevue,Tacoma and Olympia.

 

James Cook is the United States Director of Research for Colliers International.  He compiles all data for national research reports and oversees all local researchers in every major U.S. market.

 

Mr. Cook will review how the recession has affected commercial real estate investments by product type (multifamily, retail, industrial and office) and region.  He will review the opinions of experts nationwide regarding the recovery of commercial real estate markets and discuss how this recession differs from the lows of real estate cycles in the past.

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Reid Erickson

Executive Managing Director

PGP Valuation, Inc., Seattle

 

John Campbell

Managing Director

PGP Valuation, Inc., Seattle

 

http://www.pgpinc.com/about

 

 

PGP Valuation, Inc. is one of the largest real estate appraisal firms in the world, with 250 associates in 3 countries.  Last year, PGP Valuation conducted 10,000 appraisals.  PGP Valuation’s regional office is in Seattle.

 

Reid Erickson and James Campbell will discuss how properties are being appraised in today’s changing market conditions and in light of the relative absence of comparable sales, including the effect of foreclosures and distress sales on the market value of non-distressed properties, how appraisals are affected by the entity for whom they are being performed and that entity’s standards and what standards/criteria we should expect after the market improves.

 

William Robinson

Appraiser/Principal

APT Appraisal & Consulting LLC, Seattle

 

APT Appraisal & Consulting LLC specializes in multifamily appraisal and consulting in the state of Washington.  Appraisals are performed for lending, consulting, partnership buyouts, tax assessment appeals, estate planning and court testimony.   Bill Robinson has appraised over 2,500 apartment buildings in Washington.

 

Mr. Robinson will address current market values and pricing trends for apartments in south King, Pierce, Thurston and Kitsap Counties. 

 

Peter Norrie

Managing Director

Cohen Financial, Portland

 

Edwin Gambee

Director

Cohen Financial, Portland

 

http://www.cohenfinancial.com/

 

Cohen Financial is a national real estate capital services company and an originator of commercial real estate debt and equity transactions with eight offices in major markets around the country.  One of Cohen Financial’s specialties is the financing of multifamily properties.  The regional office of Cohen Financial is in Portland.

 

Peter Norrie and Ed Gambee will discuss the current lending environment for commercial loans and multifamily financing in particular:  loan to value ratio, debt coverage ratio, underwriting standards of the lenders, sources of financing and whether a “cash back” re-fi is possible today.  They will offer the opinions of experts in the industry for the ability to borrow for multifamily properties once the market recovers:  will we ever be back to the “good old days?”

 

Melanie R. Chinn

Vice President, Commercial Real Estate

Wells Fargo Bank, Bellevue

 

https://www.wellsfargo.com/

 

Ms. Chinn is a Vice President of Commercial Real Estate with Wells Fargo Bank.  She has extensive experience with all aspects of banking and commercial real estate lending, and supervises a team of commercial bankers.

 

Ms. Chinn will discuss the banking and lending crisis and the government response, differentiating between the residential and commercial sectors.  The looming crisis in the CMBS (commercial mortgage backed securities) market caused by maturing loans and how it will affect new financing and refinancing will be covered.  Ms. Chinn will further discuss how banking and lending are different today than in days past and how they will be different in the future and how that will affect multifamily and other commercial investments.

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Brett L. A. Manning, CFA

Associate Vice President, Institutional Sales & Strategy

Federal Home Loan Bank, Seattle

 

http://www.fhlbsea.com/

 

The Federal Home Loan Bank of Seattle is a member-owned cooperative, serving more than 375 community financial institutions.  It is part of a network of similar institutions around the country.  The Bank’s members—commercial banks, savings institutions, credit unions, and insurance companies—are its customers. The FHLB provides them with access to wholesale funding that they can use to make home mortgages, small business, and other loans to the members of their communities.

Brett L.A. Manning’s undergraduate degree was in Finance.  He was an Honors graduate of UW’s Pacific Coast Banking School and is a Chartered Finacial Analyst.  At the FHLB, Mr. Manning co-manages the sales and strategy platform for the Bank’s largest institutional national accounts, manages the execution of structured product offerings and new product development for the Bank, develops catered financial strategy for large borrowers and provides economic commentaries and research for the Bank’s external publications and presentations.

It would not be inappropriate to describe the FHLB as “your bank’s bank.”  Mr. Manning will discuss the future of interest rates and what will cause them to go up, go down or stay the same.  

 

 

 

Carl Peterson

Attorney at Law

 

Jason Whalen

Attorney at Law

Eisenhower & Carlson PLLC, Tacoma, WA

 

http://www.eisenhowerlaw.com/

 

With 30 attorneys in Tacoma and Seattle, Eisenhower & Carlson PLLC has been representing businesses, business people and high net worth individuals for 90 years.  Mr. Peterson’s practice emphasizes real estate matters.  In addition, he represents lenders and borrowers with regard to real estate financing matters.  Mr. Whalen’s practice emphasizes real estate litigation and bankruptcy.

 

Mr. Peterson and Mr. Whalen will discuss the legal issues that must be considered when buying promissory notes, stepping in to pending foreclosures and investing in distressed real estate in general.

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Tom Cain

Principal

Apartment Insights Washington LLC, Seattle, WA

 

http://www.apartmentinsightswa.com

 

In 2004 Cain Inc. and Phoenix-based, RealData, Inc., formed a partnership to bring RealData's online apartment research service, Apartment Insights, to the Seattle area.  RealData brought its 18-year history of providing accurate, in-depth property specific research, its cutting edge technology, and its national subscriber base.  Cain Inc. contributed its extensive database and years of experience of apartment research and analysis in the Seattle area.

Tom Cain began his career in real estate in apartment brokerage in 1969 at the company known today as CB Richard Ellis.  In 1977 he and Mike Scott formed Cain and Scott, Inc. as an apartment brokerage.   The company's Apartment Investment Study published in 1980 was the first of its kind in the country to monitor apartment values in a local market using cap rates and gross rent multipliers on an ongoing basis.  The following year Tom joined the Central Puget Sound Real Estate Research Committee to provide data on apartment value trends.  He served in this role for 25 years.

In 1982 Tom was given the opportunity to take over the official apartment vacancy survey then held by another member of the Research Committee.  He helped oversee the development, surveying and publishing of Cain and Scott's research products.  In 1995 Mike Scott and his wife left the company with the research and publications division and formed Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors.  Cain Inc. closed its brokerage operation in 2005 to focus solely on research.

In 2008, the Central Puget Sound Real Estate Research Committee replaced Dupre + Scott.  It appointed Tom Cain of Apartment Insights Washington to provide apartment vacancy data for its semi-annual Report.  The nonprofit Research Committee has been the official source of apartment vacancy information in the Seattle area since it was founded in 1949.

 

Mr. Cain will present detailed data on rents, vacancies, concessions and new/pending construction for the south King, Pierce, Thurston and Kitsap County markets.  Mr. Cain will discuss apartment trends and how rents and vacancies in these submarkets will fare in the near term.

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Glenn E. Crellin

Director

Washington State University Center for Real Estate Research

 

http://www.wcrer.wsu.edu/

 

The WCRER was created in 1989 by WSU’s Board of Regents to fulfill the University’s mission of research, education and service to the real estate industry.  The goal of the Center is to conduct academic research and analysis useful to the real estate industry and to present it in an understandable format.   Mr. Crellin, who is an economist, has been Director of the Center since 1993.  Prior to becoming Director, for 16 years Mr. Crellin conducted or managed research for the National Association of Realtors in Washington, D.C.

 

Mr. Crellin will discuss both the residential and multifamily markets, state wide and locally.  He will analyze concerns about the effects of distress in the commercial markets and commercial lending and how this will affect the residential market (and vice versa).  It is expected that Mr. Crellin will help put the presentations of all the other speakers in focus for the audience.

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